To say a lot of Everton fans are disappointed with finishing 13th is an understatement.
Just a few weeks ago, Evertonians were getting rather excited as the club sat eighth, with Everton having wind in their sails.
The 3-0 win over Chelsea at Hill Dickinson Stadium was supposed to be the start of a real push.
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In the end, the exact opposite happened, and Everton went and finished the campaign with seven games without a win.
The final game against Tottenham Hotspur was a major disappointment, and Everton slipped a couple of places to finish 13th.
And now, the xG table has been released – and it seems Everton were actually somewhat fortunate to finish as high as they did.
Everton finished higher in the Premier League than expected as new data revealed
So Everton finished 13th in the end, but they can count themselves slightly fortunate they even finished this high.
Because while there was major disappointment about the way Everton finished, Squawka have published their final Premier League table adjusted for xG – and it reveals the Toffees ‘should’ have come 16th.
Their table is calculated by looking at each individual match across the season to come up with a result. They’ve either rounded up, or rounded down the xG to the nearest full number.
By doing this, Everton are shown to finish 16th with a points haul of 38.
38 points, of course, is actually lower than the 39 West Ham United eventually finished with that saw them relegated.
West Ham themselves actually place 17th in this alternative table, with Sunderland occupying the final relegation spot.
This is quite significant because Sunderland obviously finished seventh in the real table.
But in the xG table they drop 11 places, suggesting the Black Cats were somewhat fortunate to get Europa League football.
This data strongly suggests that Everton need to improve in the final third next season.
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Ultimately, Everton have seemingly benefitted from the poor finishing of some opponents in the 2025/26, and have at times managed to maximise their own productivity in front of goal.
We’ve seen that Everton don’t really create swathes of chances, but clearly in some instances it hasn’t taken very many to find the back of the net which has led to points being picked up.
There is an argument to say that how Everton have played is not sustainable, and next season the Toffees need to be improving considerably in the final third.
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