News

How many points Everton are now predicted to finish on by supercomputer after West Ham loss

Add as preferred source on Google

Everton’s European dreams took a hit on Saturday afternoon.

The Toffees suffered a late defeat to West Ham United at the London Stadium, leaving them in the bottom half of the table.

David Moyes’ side are sitting in 11th place, although they’re only two points behind a Conference League spot and three from the Europa.

Position Team Played MP Won W Drawn D Lost L For GF Against GA Diff GD Points Pts
6 BrightonBrighton34 13 11 10 48 39 9 50
7 BournemouthBournemouth34 11 16 7 52 52 0 49
8 ChelseaChelsea34 13 9 12 53 45 8 48
9 BrentfordBrentford33 13 9 11 48 44 4 48
10 FulhamFulham34 14 6 14 44 46 -2 48
11 EvertonEverton34 13 8 13 41 41 0 47
12 SunderlandSunderland34 12 10 12 36 45 -9 46
13 Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace33 11 10 12 36 39 -3 43
14 NewcastleNewcastle34 12 6 16 46 50 -4 42
15 LeedsLeeds34 9 13 12 44 51 -7 40

With that said, we’ve decided to take a look at how the Opta supercomputer has predicted the final four games of the season and where it has Everton finishing.

Everton manager David Moyes.
Photo by Michael Driver/MI News/NurPhoto via Getty Images

Everton predicted to finish four points off Europe

The supercomputer expects Everton to pick up five points from their last four games, which isn’t a great return in truth.

That would have the Toffees finish on 52 points in 11th place, two points adrift from a European position.

#TeamPoints
6Brighton56.41
7Bournemouth54.49
8Brentford54.17
9Chelsea53.80
10Fulham53.04
11Everton52.35
Opta’s predicted PL table

The software has given them a 3.58% chance of finishing in the top six, so clearly the underlying data isn’t particularly encouraging.

Finishing in the bottom half of the table would be disappointing, especially considering how long the club has spent on the fringes of Europe this season.

Give us your gut feeling… will Everton make it into Europe? 🌍

Everton manager David Moyes on Europe.

Looking at the final four games, Moyes’ men should be targeting maximum points against Sunderland and Crystal Palace.

  • Premier League
    • EvertonEverton

      Manchester CityManchester City

  • Premier League
    • Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

      EvertonEverton

  • Premier League
    • EvertonEverton

      SunderlandSunderland

  • Premier League
    • TottenhamTottenham

      EvertonEverton

The away game at Tottenham Hotspur on the final day brings a unique challenge, as the hosts may need a win to secure their top-flight status.

The Merseysiders would likely have to win three out of the last four games to give themselves a decent chance.